The CIS fails to foresee that the PP could lose the absolute power and be replaced by a BNG-PSOE coalition

He also made a mistake regarding the possibility of Sumar and Vox entering the Galician Parliament

MADRID, 18 Feb. (EUROPA PRESS) -

The Sociological Research Center (CIS), chaired by the socialist José Félix Tezanos, has failed in the latest survey of the Galician elections that it launched last Monday, February 12, where it estimated that the PP could lose its absolute majority and maintained the possibility of a left-wing coalition between BNG and PSOE.

Specifically, the last survey launched by the public body for these Galician elections gave the PP a range of seats of 34-38 and a vote estimate of 42.2%. However, with more than 95% of the results counted, the 'popular' have maintained the absolute majority with 40 parliamentarians, with 47.52% of the votes.

But not only has it made a mistake in the latest survey, but in the previous estimates published by the CIS on February 5 and January 25 for the Galician elections, the body chaired by Tezanos maintained the possibility that the PP could lose the majority. absolute.

In the February 5 survey, the CIS also said that the PP would have a range of seats of 34-38 and an estimate of 42.2% of the votes, while in the first Galician elections that were held, the seat range was between 36 and 38, with 43.2% of the votes.

Likewise, the CIS opened the possibility of a left-wing coalition by predicting in its latest survey that the BNG would have a seat range of 24-31, while the PSdeG could obtain between 9 and 14 deputies.

However, with more than 95% of the results counted, that possibility of a coalition between the BNG and the PSdeG has disappeared, since the Galician nationalists have obtained 25 seats, while the socialists have 9 deputies, leaving this last survey in the lower numbers of the range.

In the survey launched by the CIS on January 25, it gave a range of 15 and 17 deputies to the PSdeG, while it predicted that the BNG would have between 20 and 23 seats in these Galician elections.

Regarding the percentage of the vote, the latest CIS survey estimated that the BNG would reach 33.4% and the PSdeG, 18.1%. And, after 95% of the scrutiny, in the case of the Galician nationalists the percentage is 31.4%, while that of the socialists slightly exceeds 14%.

On the other hand, the CIS indicated in its latest survey the possibility of Sumar entering the Galician Parliament with up to two seats in the highest range, although in the lowest range he did not obtain any deputies, as has finally happened.

With more than 93% of the vote, Yolanda Díaz's party has 1.87% of the votes, while Félix Tezanos' organization estimated that they would reach 2.8%.

In the case of Vox, the CIS also opened the door for them to enter the Galician Parliament with a deputy, although in the same way the lowest range left them without representation, an extreme that has also happened. This body estimated a voting percentage of 2.4% and finally had 2.19%.

Yes, he was right about the possibility that Democracia Ourensana would enter with a deputy, something that finally ended up happening. Of course, he underestimated his percentage of the vote since, according to the estimate, it would be 0.5% and in the end it was 1.02%.